Do you want the best returns for the long run? Go to where the growth is.
The financial community loves to talk about US stocks having a 7% real return, after it was popularized in Jeremy Seigel’s Stocks for the Long Run. This translates to 10-11% return before we take inflation into account. The problem with this is that it examines one very unusual subset of time where a country goes from a small fledgling nation to the largest economic empire on earth.
The dataset used by Seigel essentially uses the last 200 years of stock information, beginning in 1802. At that time, the US had admitted 16 states to the Union, and Thomas Jefferson had not even signed the Louisiana Purchase. During the next century and a half, we expanded across a continent and had only one major war on our home soil. America was the very definition of an emerging market. Continue reading ‘The Best Long Term ETFs and Mutual Funds’ »
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