Posts tagged ‘Stochastic’

A stochastic shows a stock’s (or any trading instrument) ability to trade in the upper or lower part of its price range relative to the analysis period. Stocks that are in the upper part of the range (above 70) and the lower part of the range (below 30) are exhibiting signs of strength and weakness respectively, in relation to recent performance. This strength or weakness can be exploited by short term traders.

While a stochastic reading at these levels (above 70 or below 30) is often considered overbought or oversold, strong stocks will spend more time in the upper half of their range and weak stocks will spend more time in the lower half of their range. This means that we can take advantage of strong or weak stocks at points when they are showing above average strength or weakness. I call this movement a “stochastic follow through”.

The Strategy: In an up trending stock, buy when the slow stochastic line crosses above the 70 level with the fast line still pointing up. Sell a down trending stock when the slow stochastic line crosses below 30 with the fast line still pointing down. Cover longs when fast line crosses below slow line, and cover shorts when fast line crosses above slow line.

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